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The information content of the S&P 500 index and VIX options on the dynamics of the S&P 500 index

✍ Scribed by San-Lin Chung; Wei-Che Tsai; Yaw-Huei Wang; Pei-Shih Weng

Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
Year: 2011
Tongue: English
Weight: 259 KB
Volume: 31
Category: Article
ISSN: 0270-7314
DOI: 10.1002/fut.20532

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

✦ Synopsis

Given that both S&P 500 index and VIX options essentially contain information about the future dynamics of the S&P 500 index, in this study, we set out to empirically investigate the informational roles played by these two option markets with regard to the prediction of returns, volatility, and density in the S&P 500 index. Our results reveal that the information content implied from these two option markets is not identical. In addition to the information extracted from the S&P 500 index options, all of the predictions for the S&P 500 index are significantly improved by the information recovered from the VIX options. Our findings

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