## Abstract Surface moisture supply is known to be a factor which can be important in triggering convection. This paper aims to investigate its impact on shortβrange numerical forecasts of tropical rainfall. The ECMWF (European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts) operational forecasting mod
The influence of La Nina on African rainfall
β Scribed by S.E. Nicholson; J.C. Selato
- Book ID
- 101324465
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2000
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 391 KB
- Volume
- 20
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0899-8418
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
This article examines the influence of La Nina/cold events on rainfall over the African continent, using a harmonic analysis method. As with El Nino, there is a general association between wet conditions continentally and cold temperatures in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans, and dry conditions in association with warm sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) in these oceans. La Nina appears to have the greatest influence on rainfall in southern Africa and wet episodes tend to occur throughout the subcontinent during the first few months of the post-La Nina year. There is a somewhat weaker tendency for below-normal rainfall in eastern equatorial Africa at this time. Our results provide further confirmation of an earlier conclusion that SSTs in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans are a primary influence on African rainfall. La Nina's influence tends to be exactly opposite that of El Nino: reduced rainfall over much of the continent in the first half of the episode, abnormally high rainfall in the second half. The documented El Nino/La Nina associations with African rainfall reflect the impact of these episodes on SSTs in the oceans.
π SIMILAR VOLUMES
Regions of correlation between South African late summer rainfall and sea-surface temperature (SST) in the NINO3 region were identified. Regions identified for late summer showed a much better spatial coherence than was the case for early summer. These regions were then compared with eight homogeneo