This paper applies the switching ARCH model introduced by Hamilton and Susmel (1994) to weekly DMaยฃ exchange rates for the period March 1987ยฑDecember 1994. The sample period spans the UK's ERM tenure, which lasted until the currency crisis of September 1992. The SWARCH model generalizes standard ARC
The economics of exchange rate volatility asymmetry
โ Scribed by Michael McKenzie
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2002
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 151 KB
- Volume
- 7
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 1076-9307
- DOI
- 10.1002/ijfe.189
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
โฆ Synopsis
Abstract
One commonly observed feature of financial market volatility is the presence of asymmetry whereby shocks to the market do not generate equal responses. This phenomenon has been attributed to the leverage effect for stock markets. For exchange rates, asymmetry has also been documented with no economic reason apparent. In this paper, a hypothesis is proposed and tested which attributes the presence of asymmetric responses in exchange rate volatility to the intervention activity of the central bank. Using daily intervention data for the Reserve Bank of Australia, empirical evidence is presented in support of this hypothesis which suggests that intervention may do more harm than good in volatile markets. Copyright ยฉ 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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