The drying up of Britain? A national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 Regional Climate Model simulations
✍ Scribed by Christel Prudhomme; Andy Young; Glenn Watts; Tracey Haxton; Sue Crooks; Jennifer Williamson; Helen Davies; Simon Dadson; Stuart Allen
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2012
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 271 KB
- Volume
- 26
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0885-6087
- DOI
- 10.1002/hyp.8434
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
✦ Synopsis
Abstract
As climate change may modify the hydrological cycle significantly, understanding the impact on river flow is important because it affects long‐term water resources planning. Here, we describe a high‐resolution British assessment of changes in river flows in the 2050s under 11 different realisations of HadRM3. In winter, river flows may either increase or decrease, with a wide range of possible decreases in summer flow. These results should encourage adaptation that copes with a broad range of future hydrological conditions. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.