The comparative accuracy of judgmental and model forecasts of American football games
β Scribed by ChiUng Song; Bryan L. Boulier; Herman O. Stekler
- Book ID
- 113647926
- Publisher
- Elsevier Science
- Year
- 2007
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 158 KB
- Volume
- 23
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0169-2070
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
π SIMILAR VOLUMES
## Abstract A rapidly growing literature emphasizes the importance of evaluating the forecast accuracy of empirical models on the basis of density (as opposed to point) forecasting performance. We propose a test statistic for the null hypothesis that two competing models have equal density forecast
The purpose of this article is to compare the accuracy of forecasts for natural gas prices as reported by the Energy Information Administration's short-term energy outlook (STEO) and the futures market for the period from 1998 to 2004. The analysis tabulates the existing data and develops a statisti