The asymptotic likelihood of agreement between plurality and condorcet outcomes

✍ Scribed by Raphael Gillett

• Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
• Year: 1980
• Tongue: English
• Weight: 759 KB
• Volume: 25
• Category: Article
• ISSN: 8756-6079
• DOI: 10.1002/bs.3830250104

✦ Synopsis

This article deals 4 t h collective decision making by voting procedures in living systems at the levels of groups, organizations, societies, or supranational systems. General principles are outlined which permit the determination of the likelihood of agreement, and disagreement, between plurality and Condorcet outcomes when system size is large, for any number of alternatives in virtually any culture. A method is developed which ascertains, for any number of alternatives, the system in which the likelihood of plurality/Condorcet disagreement reaches a maximum. The hypothesis that an inverse relation exists between the probability of plurality distortion and the probability of the paradox of voting is disproved. Methodological issues arising from previous work are considered.