✦ LIBER ✦
The accuracy of extrapolation methods; an automatic box–jenkins package sift
✍ Scribed by Gareth Hill; Robert Fildes
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1984
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 294 KB
- Volume
- 3
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0277-6693
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
✦ Synopsis
Abstract
Hill and Woodworth (1980) proposed an algorithm suitable for identifying Box–Jenkins models automatically without reliance on the investigator. This paper first reviews the method. It is then used on the 111 series analysed by Anderson in the Makridakis forecasting competition. The results show that the automatic method of Hill and Woodworth is comparable in terms of accuracy to the full Box–Jenkins identification procedure.