This paper proposes a Bayesian extension of Svensson's (1991. IMF Staff Papers 38: 655 -665) test of target zone credibility. The credibility measures considered allow us to quantify the target zone's overall credibility at each point in time as well as a measure of long-run credibility. In an appli
Testing the credibility of stabilization programmes. Evidence from Greece
✍ Scribed by Costas Karfakis; Moïse Sidiropoulos; Jamel Trabelsi
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2000
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 197 KB
- Volume
- 5
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 1076-9307
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
✦ Synopsis
This paper tests the size and the diffusion effect of the credibility factors of the stabilization programme implemented in Greece in 1985, by means of a two-step procedure which focuses on the analysis of the time-series properties of the parallel market premium and the inflation process. An interesting aspect of the analysis is the evidence that the stabilization plan gained credibility rapidly, and its impact on the inflation dynamics was significant.
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