Testing Macroeconometric Models

✍ Scribed by Ray C. Fair

• Publisher: Harvard University Press
• Year: 1994
• Tongue: English
• Leaves: 448
• Edition: Reprint 2013
• Category: Library

✦ Synopsis

In this book Ray Fair expounds powerful techniques for estimating and analyzing macroeconometric models. He takes advantage of the remarkable decrease in computational costs that has occurred since the early 1980s by implementing such sophisticated techniques as stochastic simulation. Testing Macroeconometric Models also incorporates the assumption of rational expectations in the estimation, solution, and testing of the models. And it presents the latest versions of Fair's models of the economies of the United States and other countries.

After estimating and testing the U.S. model, Fair analyzes its properties, including those relevant to economic policymakers: the optimal monetary policy instrument, the effect of a government spending reduction on the government deficit, whether monetary policy is becoming less effective over time, and the sensitivity of policy effects to the assumption of rational expectations.

Ray Fair has conducted research on structural macroeconometric models for more than twenty years. With interest increasing in the area, this book will be an essential reference for macroeconomists.

✦ Table of Contents

Contents
List of Tables
List of Figures
Preface
1 Introduction
2 Theory
3 The Data, Variables, and Equations
4 Estimating and Testing Single Equations
5 The Stochastic Equations of the US Model
6 The Stochastic Equations of the ROW Model
7 Estimating and Testing Complete Models
8 Estimating and Testing the US Model
9 Testing the MC Model
10 Analyzing Properties of Models
11 Analyzing Properties of the US Model
12 Analyzing Properties of the MC Model
13 Conclusion
Appendix A Tables for the US Model
Appendix Β Tables for the ROW Model
Bibliography
Index