𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
✦   LIBER   ✦

Teleconnections and the siege of time

✍ Scribed by Ramaoe, C. S.

Book ID
102911106
Publisher
Wiley (John Wiley & Sons)
Year
1983
Weight
635 KB
Volume
3
Category
Article
ISSN
2314-6214

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

✦ Synopsis

The recent surge of interest in climate has resurrected correlation coefficients as tools for identifying 'significant' atmospheric teleconnections. Unfortunately, large coefficients may diminish and even change sign with time, suggesting absence of real physical relationships.

Some statistical evidence supports the view that higher than normal sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific 'cause' less than normal rainfall in the Indian summer monsoon. However, a study of individual Augusts uncovers major exceptions and at the same time fails to confirm that Indian summer rainfall influences central and eastern Pacific rainfall or that the Southern Oscillation Index can be consistently related to conditions in either region. Around 1963Around -1964 the apparent relationship between the Southern Oscillation Index and Indian rainfall reversed. At about the same time other global climatic relationships changed, raising the possibility of identifying and describing a major global climatic singularity separating two distinct statistical populations. KEY WORDS Indian monsoon Pacific rainfall Pacific sea surface temperature Southern Oscillation Teleconnections -0-25 March +Om29 +Om23 -0.19 -0.51 -0.08 Peninsula Rainfall June-Snow June

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