โ Scribed by Ilan Salomon
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
Telecommuting, along with other telecommunications services, is often suggested to be a solution to congestion-related transportation problems. Forecasts of telecommuting and its impacts have typically overestimated the adoption of this arrangement. The paper reviews the problems of forecasting a complex solution to social problems. It critically assesses the wide range of forecasting approaches applied to telecommuting and the reasons for the upwards bias. The appeal of the concept, combined with various interests are among the reasons for the optimistic forecasts. Methodologically, forecasts of telecommuting tend to emphasize technological change while underestimating the social implications which determine the adoption of such technologies. A choice theory is suggested as an alternative approach which can address issues related to human behavior in the context of technological change. The explanatory power of choice models is demonstrated and suggested for future analysis of technologies which entail extensive adaptation for adopters and institutions.
๐ SIMILAR VOLUMES
The purpose of this paper is to derive the efficiency measures and the rate of technological change for a sample of large U.S. commercial banks by employing a nonparametric technique. This technique is used to construct a multiproduct production frontier relative to which the efficiency measures ,of