𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
✦   LIBER   ✦

Supply chain optimization modeling in uncertain environment with prediction mechanism

✍ Scribed by Li, Chong; Chen, Kejia


Book ID
120532831
Publisher
Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Year
2013
Tongue
English
Weight
117 KB
Volume
3
Category
Article
ISSN
2043-9377

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

✦ Synopsis


Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to explore new methods to improve supply chain management in uncertain environment, more specifically, to tackle the uncertain demand problem and the inventory optimization problem faced by most supply chain systems.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper develops a multi‐objective inventory optimization model, which combines the classic grey prediction GM(1,1) model with the metaheuristic method. The former is applied to achieve the forecasting mechanism in supply chain operations, and the latter is applied to optimize the model solution.

Findings

Results show that the grey‐based forecasting mechanism performs better than other prediction methods, such as the double exponential smoothing method used in this paper. The solution of the multi‐objective inventory optimization model is also improved with the integration of grey prediction method. These indicate the importance of a forecasting mechanism in supply chain management.

Originality/value

The paper succeeds in constructing a novel inventory optimization model and in providing a novel supply chain management framework. It shows for the first time that grey prediction method combined with metaheuristic method may be a valid approach to supply chain management under uncertain environment.


📜 SIMILAR VOLUMES


Modelling and simulation of a supply cha
✍ Dobrila Petrovic; Rajat Roy; Radivoj Petrovic 📂 Article 📅 1998 🏛 Elsevier Science 🌐 English ⚖ 206 KB

This paper describes fuzzy modelling and simulation of a supply chain (SC) in an uncertain environment, as the ®rst step in developing a decision support system. An SC is viewed as a series of facilities that performs the procurement of raw material, its transformation to intermediate and end-produc

MODELING UNCERTAIN FORECAST ACCURACY IN
✍ Larry J. LeBlanc; James A. Hill; Jerry Harder; Gregory W. Greenwell 📂 Article 📅 2009 🏛 Wiley (John Wiley & Sons) 🌐 English ⚖ 213 KB

We examine a situation where a manufacturer operates in a two‐mode production environment. The first mode could involve overseas vendors and manufacturing facilities. If additional units are later required, the company must use its second mode—more expensive last‐minute domestic vendors and manufact