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Stochastic population forecasts based on conditional expert opinions

✍ Scribed by F. C. Billari; R. Graziani; E. Melilli

Book ID: 115225770
Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
Year: 2011
Tongue: English
Weight: 681 KB
Volume: 175
Category: Article
ISSN: 0964-1998
DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-985x.2011.01015.x

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## Abstract Model‐based SKU‐level forecasts are often adjusted by experts. In this paper we propose a statistical methodology to test whether these expert forecasts improve on model forecasts. Application of the methodology to a very large database concerning experts in 35 countries who adjust SKU‐