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Statistical Methods for Forecasting.by Bovas Abraham; Johannes Ledolter

✍ Scribed by Review by: W. D. Ray

Book ID: 125781440
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing
Year: 1984
Weight: 268 KB
Volume: 147
Category: Article
ISSN: 0035-9238
DOI: 10.2307/2981583

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It is shown that the traditional choice for the initial smoothed statistics in general exponential smoothing leads to the same forecasts as the equivalent ARIMA model, provided that one uses zero starting values for the initial shocks. In addition, an initialization which uses 'backforecasts' as ini