โ Scribed by Captain James A. English; E. A. Jerome
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
The prediction of future requirements is an important factor in the effective and economical operation of many organizations. The analysis of factors determining the optimum balance between reasonable cost and reasonable availability came to be an important aspect of operations research during World War TI. The necessity for cautious use of certain critical requirements planning. In peacetime, then, it becomes important that we study our past experience, devise methods for facilitating rapid adjustment to wartime needs, stockpile key items wherein that is practicable, and in general, be ready for immediate action.
The application of these principles to dental logistics is no less important to the SUCcessful performance of the dental mission. The determination of the future requirements of dental materiel is most easily accomplished by using past issues as a basis for predictions. If operating conditions remain the same, undoubtedly this method is quite adequate. When one is certain that conditions will not be the same in a future year, an adjustment factor must be applied. This factor might be established by developing a direct proportion such as the following: If 100 items were adequate for 1,000 men in the past year, then 200 will be required for the next year if there is to be an increase of 100 per cent in personnel. This is an adequate method, providing usage actually increases in direct proportion to personnel.
An examination of the specific conditions which pertain to usage of dental material may lead to some conclusions as to where it would be most profitable to begin a search for the correction factor to apply. For example, if the Navy increased from 500,000 total personnel to 1,000,000, but the dental officer strength remained the same, would one expect an increase in usage of dental material of 100 per cent or zero-or somewhere in between? Also one might inquire as to the effect of increase in number of dental officers on usage of dental material, when the ratio between dental officer strength and total personnel was constant. One must ' supplies (e.g., rubber, tin) not readily available in our continent put an added burden on * * *
๐ SIMILAR VOLUMES
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