Simplifications for single-route transit-ridership forecasting models

✍ Scribed by Alan J. Horowitz

• Book ID: 104641383
• Publisher: Springer US
• Year: 1984
• Tongue: English
• Weight: 757 KB
• Volume: 12
• Category: Article
• ISSN: 0049-4488
• DOI: 10.1007/bf00146945

✦ Synopsis

The growth in popularity of microcomputers has reemphasized the need for simplified transit-planning techniques. This paper describes and evaluates a single-route ridership forecasting model which is designed to fit within a modest-sized microcomputer. The model is based upon the traditional four-step urban transportation modeling process, but it is simplified by removing the possibility of multiple transfers and by eliminating the highway network. An analysis of model error shows that these simplifications do not appreciably affect the accuracy of the forecasts. A particular advantage of implementing the model on a microcomputer is the user-friendliness that can be achieved by employing interactive color graphics for data input.