SIGNATURES OF A UNIVERSAL SPECTRUM FOR ATMOSPHERIC INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY IN COADS SURFACE PRESSURE TIME SERIES

✍ Scribed by SELVAM, A. M.; PETHKAR, J. S.; KULKARNI, M. K.; VIJAYAKUMAR, R.

• Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
• Year: 1996
• Tongue: English
• Weight: 701 KB
• Volume: 16
• Category: Article
• ISSN: 0899-8418
• DOI: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0088(199604)16:4<393::aid-joc15>3.0.co;2-2

✦ Synopsis

Annual and seasonal mean global surface pressure time series for the 25 years 1964-1988 obtained from the Comprehensive Ocean Atmosphere Data Set (COADS) were subjected to quasi-continuous periodogram spectral analysis. Periodogram estimates are summarized in the following: (i) the atmospheric interannual variability exhibits a broadband (eddy continuum) structure; (ii) the spectra follow the universal inverse power-law form of the statistical normal distribution; (ii) periodicities up to 5 years contribute to as much as 50 per cent of the total variance; (v) the high-and low-frequency El Niiio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycles of respective periodicities 3-4 years and 4-8 years and interdecadal oscillations are present in all the data sets.

The inverse power-law form for power spectra is ubiquitous to real-world dynamical systems and is identified as a signature of self-organized criticality or deterministic chaos.

The above results are consistent with a recently developed cell dynamical system model for atmospheric flows, which predicts self-organized criticality as intrinsic to quantum-like mechanics governing atmospheric flow dynamics. Identification of selforganized criticality in annual and seasonal mean surface pressure fluctuations and its unique quantification implies predictability of the total pattern of fluctuations. A universal spectrum for interannual variability rules out linear trends in atmospheric surface pressure patterns.