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Sensitivity of model simulations for a coastal cyclone


Book ID
123361979
Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1988
Weight
84 KB
Volume
35
Category
Article
ISSN
0198-0254

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## Abstract In order to examine the dependence of the ensemble forecast spread on model uncertainty, we use the model grid‐point spacing and the index of shallow‐convection top as surrogates for model uncertainty, to construct two groups of ensemble forecasts (β€˜experiments’). In each ensemble, we u