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Season-dependent dynamics of nonlinear optimal error growth and El Niño-Southern Oscillation predictability in a theoretical model

✍ Scribed by Mu, Mu; Duan, Wansuo; Wang, Bin

Book ID
119668133
Publisher
American Geophysical Union
Year
2007
Tongue
English
Weight
335 KB
Volume
112
Category
Article
ISSN
0148-0227

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✍ Yanshan Yu; Wansuo Duan; Hui Xu; Mu Mu 📂 Article 📅 2009 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 550 KB

## Abstract With the intermediate‐complexity Zebiak–Cane model, we investigate the ‘spring predictability barrier’ (SPB) problem for El Niño events by tracing the evolution of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP), where CNOP is superimposed on the El Niño events and acts as the initial