𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
✦   LIBER   ✦

Scoring rules and survey density forecasts

✍ Scribed by Gianna Boero; Jeremy Smith; Kenneth F. Wallis

Book ID
118449005
Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
2011
Tongue
English
Weight
834 KB
Volume
27
Category
Article
ISSN
0169-2070

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

πŸ“œ SIMILAR VOLUMES

Density forecasting: a survey
Density forecasting: a survey
✍ Anthony S. Tay; Kenneth F. Wallis πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 2000 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 166 KB
Evaluating probability forecasts in term
Evaluating probability forecasts in terms of refinement and strictly proper scoring rules
✍ Walter KrΓ€mer πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 2006 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 89 KB

## Abstract This note gives an easily verified necessary and sufficient condition for one probability forecaster to empirically outperform another one in terms of all strictly proper scoring rules. Copyright Β© 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.