## Abstract The sea surface temperature (SST)‐forced predictability in precipitation is investigated in terms of the seasonal mean modes (SMMs) for June–July (JJ) and the sub‐seasonal mode (SSM) using the 24‐year six‐member ensembles simulation with an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM).
Response of the summer atmospheric circulation over East Asia to SST variability in the tropical Pacific
✍ Scribed by Rena Nagata; Takehiko Mikami
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2009
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 982 KB
- Volume
- 30
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0899-8418
- DOI
- 10.1002/joc.1909
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✦ Synopsis
Abstract
General circulation over East Asia and its linkages with sea surface temperature (SST) variability over the tropical Pacific is investigated for the 1958–2000 period. The western edge of the North Pacific subtropical high (NPSH) index (SHI) is defined from pentad 31 (May 31 to June 4) to pentad 49 (August 29 to September 2). A southwestward extension of the SHI has been observed since 1980. The changes in the NPSH are associated with SST warming in the tropical eastern Pacific and Indian Ocean. On the basis of the SHI, years with western, eastern, southern and northern displacement of the NPSH are defined as WD, ED, SD and ND years. WD and SD years occur after 1980. Climatologically, the subsidence is located around 30°N in the western Pacific. This subsidence area corresponds to the NPSH region. Before pentad 40 in WD and SD years, associated with warm SST anomalies, circulation anomalies show an ascending motion over the tropical eastern Pacific and Indian Ocean. This ascending motion induces the anomalous subsidence over the tropical western Pacific and causes the southwestward extension of the NPSH. After pentad 40 (July 15–19), the seasonal evolution of WD years is different from the SD years. After pentad 40 in WD years, associated with large warm SST anomalies over the tropical eastern Pacific and Indian Ocean, the strong anomalous ascending motion strengthens the anomalous subsidence in the western tropical Pacific and leads to the lack of the eastward contraction of the NPSH. In SD years, warm SST anomalies over the tropical eastern Pacific and Indian Ocean weakened after pentad 40. Correspondently, the weakened anomalous ascending motion over these regions provides the weak anomalous subsidence over the tropical western Pacific. The weakened anomalous subsidence leads to the eastward contraction of the NPSH after pentad 40 similar to the climatological evolution. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society
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