## Abstract We investigate bivariate regimeโswitching in daily futuresโcontract returns for the US stock index and tenโyear Treasury notes over the crisisโrich 1997โ2005 period. We allow the return means, volatilities, and correlation to all vary across regimes. We document a striking contrast betw
Regime switching in stock index and futures markets: a note on the NIKKEI evidence
โ Scribed by Angelos Kanas
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2009
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 95 KB
- Volume
- 14
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 1076-9307
- DOI
- 10.1002/ijfe.390
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
โฆ Synopsis
Abstract
Using a timeโvarying regimeโswitching vector error correction approach, we find strong evidence that the NIKKEI stock index cash and futures prices are jointly characterized by regime switching, which is timeโvarying and dependent upon the basis, the interest rate, the volatility of the cash index, and the US futures market. Copyright ยฉ 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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