Since the mid-1970s, ENSO has changed in character to a predominance of El Niño conditions, the extreme phase of which appears coincidental with increases in global temperature records. Instrumental time series (<150 years) are too short to adequately address the significance of late twentieth-centu
Reconstructing El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from high-resolution palaeoarchives
✍ Scribed by Joëlle Gergis; Karl Braganza; Anthony Fowler; Scott Mooney; James Risbey
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2006
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 476 KB
- Volume
- 21
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0267-8179
- DOI
- 10.1002/jqs.1070
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
✦ Synopsis
Abstract
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is one of the most important coupled ocean–atmospheric phenomena to cause global climate variability on interannual timescales. Efforts to understand recent, apparently anomalous ENSO behaviour are hampered by the phenomenon's unstable (non‐stationary) nature and the limitations inherent in palaeoclimate records. In this paper, the complexities associated with isolating ENSO signals in observational and palaeoclimate records are reviewed. The utility and limitations of high‐resolution (tree‐ring, coral, speleothems, ice and documentary) proxy data for ENSO reconstruction are discussed. To overcome the regional biases contained within each palaeoclimatic source, it is necessary to compare complementary signals derived from multiple proxy climate records. To date, there have been limited attempts to reconstruct large‐scale ENSO using these ‘multiproxy’ methodologies. A critique of the complexities associated with previous approaches of reconstructing discrete ENSO events and atmospheric/oceanic indices is provided. Abundant potential remains to better characterise teleconnection patterns, propagation signatures and non‐stationary features of large‐scale ENSO behaviour. If key uncertainties in ENSO dynamics (such as the response of extreme events to natural/human forcing) are to be adequately assessed, then complementary attempts must be made to model the historic synoptic conditions with apparent changes in reconstructed indices. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
📜 SIMILAR VOLUMES
## Abstract El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains the most important coupled ocean–atmosphere phenomenon to cause global climate variability on seasonal to interannual time scales. This paper addresses the need for a reliable ENSO index that allows for the historical definition of ENSO events
## Abstract The relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events versus precipitation anomalies, and the response of seasonal precipitation to El Niño and La Niña events were investigated for 30 basins that represent a range of climatic types throughout South‐east Asia and the Pacifi
## Abstract The main purpose of the research described in this contribution was to apply a conceptual hydrological model to predict runoff volumes when El Niño southern oscillation (ENSO) events occur. Statistical analysis was used to assess the impact of ENSO events on rainfall and runoff variable
## Abstract The extent to which European seasonal precipitation is predictable is a topic of scientific and societal importance. Although the potential for seasonal prediction is much less over Europe than in the tropics, it is not negligible. Previous studies suggest that European seasonal precipi