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Recent Developments in Nonlinear Cointegration with Applications to Macroeconomics and Finance

✍ Scribed by Gilles Dufrénot, Valérie Mignon (auth.)


Publisher
Springer US
Year
2002
Tongue
English
Leaves
318
Edition
1
Category
Library

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✦ Synopsis


This book is an introductory exposition of different topics that emerged in the literature as unifying themes between two fields of econometrics of time series, namely nonlinearity and nonstationarity. Papers on these topics have exploded over the last two decades, but they are rarely exΒ­ amined together. There is, undoubtedly, a variety of arguments that justify such a separation. But there are also good reasons that motivate their combination. People who are reluctant to a combined analysis might argue that nonlinearity and nonstationarity enhance non-trivial problems, so their combination does not stimulate interest in regard to plausibly increased difficulties. This argument can, however, be balanced by other ones of an economic nature. A predominant idea, today, is that a nonstationary series exhibits persistent deviations from its long-run components (either deterministic or stochastic trends). These persistent deviations are modelized in various ways: unit root models, fractionally integrated processes, models with shifts in the time trend, etc. However, there are many other behaviors inherent to nonstationary processes, that are not reflected in linear models. For instance, economic variables with mixture distributions, or processes that are state-dependent, undergo episodes of changing dynamics. In models with multiple long-run equiΒ­ libria, the moving from an equilibrium to another sometimes implies hysΒ­ teresis. Also, it is known that certain shocks can change the economic fundamentals, thereby reducing the possibility that an initial position is re-established after a shock (irreversibility).

✦ Table of Contents


Front Matter....Pages N3-xxvii
Introduction....Pages 1-43
Are the Unit-Root Tests Adequate for Nonlinear Models?....Pages 45-115
Nonlinear Measures of Persistence in Time Series....Pages 117-192
Nonlinear Equilibration, Cointegration and NEC Models....Pages 193-265
Asymmetric and Threshold Nonlinear Error-Correction Models....Pages 267-286
Back Matter....Pages 291-299

✦ Subjects


Econometrics; Economic Theory; Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics; International Economics


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