A core stylized fact of the empirical exchange rate literature is that half-life deviations of equilibrium real exchange rates from levels implied by Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) are very persistent. Empirical efforts to explain this persistence typically proceed along two distinct paths, resorting
Real exchange rate fluctuations and monetary shocks: a revisit
β Scribed by Shiu-Sheng Chen
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2004
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 111 KB
- Volume
- 9
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 1076-9307
- DOI
- 10.1002/ijfe.218
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
Abstract
In this paper, I first estimate a structural VAR model by following Clarida and Gali (1994) and obtain results indicating that the variance of real exchange rates can be attributed more to monetary shocks when the sample span is extended. In order to further investigate this aspect, I then employ a VAR model with longβrun USβUK annual data from 1889 to 1995. According to the variance decompositions, I find that monetary shocks can explain nearly 50% of real exchange rate variance in the longβrun sample periods. All the evidence suggests that monetary shocks are indeed more important in a larger sample set. Copyright Β© 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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