It has been widely accepted that many ยฎnancial and economic variables are non-linear, and neural networks can model ยฏexible linear or non-linear relationships among variables. The present paper deals with an important issue: Can the many studies in the ยฎnance literature evidencing predictability of
Ranking market efficiency for stock markets: A nonlinear perspective
โ Scribed by Kian-Ping Lim
- Publisher
- Elsevier Science
- Year
- 2007
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 211 KB
- Volume
- 376
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0378-4371
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
โฆ Synopsis
The present paper demonstrates, via a rolling sample approach, that the stylized fact of nonlinear dependence in stock returns is quite localized in time, suggesting that market efficiency evolves over time. Given that the rolling sample framework is able to detect periods of efficiency/inefficiency, the relative efficiency of stock markets can easily be assessed by comparing the total time windows these markets exhibit significant nonlinear serial dependence. It was found that the US market is the most efficient while Argentine is at the end of the ranking.
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