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Proper Functionalism, Reliability, and Degrees of Epistemic Warrant

✍ Scribed by John C. Wingard Jr.

Book ID: 118103836
Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
Year: 1999
Tongue: English
Weight: 761 KB
Volume: 37
Category: Article
ISSN: 0038-4283
DOI: 10.1111/j.2041-6962.1999.tb00887.x

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

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## Abstract Scoring rules are an important tool for evaluating the performance of probabilistic forecasting schemes. A scoring rule is called strictly proper if its expectation is optimal if and only if the forecast probability represents the true distribution of the target. In the binary case, str