Predictive models of scientific progress
โ Scribed by P. Zunde; V. Slamecka
- Publisher
- Elsevier Science
- Year
- 1971
- Weight
- 372 KB
- Volume
- 7
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0020-0271
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
๐ SIMILAR VOLUMES
A methodology for predicting the probability of human task reliability during a task sequence is described. The method is based on a probabilistic performance requirement-resource consumption model. This enables error-promoting conditions in accident scenarios to be modelled explicitly and a time-de
Standard statistical loss functions, such as mean-squared error, are commonly used for evaluating ยฎnancial volatility forecasts. In this paper, an alternative evaluation framework, based on probability scoring rules that can be more closely tailored to a forecast user's decision problem, is proposed