Perspectives on Uncertainty and Risk: The PRIMA Approach to Decision Support

✍ Scribed by Marjolein B. A. van Asselt (auth.)

• Publisher: Springer Netherlands
• Year: 2000
• Tongue: English
• Leaves: 443
• Edition: 1
• Category: Library

✦ Synopsis

This volume is intended to stimulate a change in the practice of decision support, advocating an interdisciplinary approach centred on both social and natural sciences, both theory and practice.
It addresses the issue of analysis and management of uncertainty and risk in decision support corresponding to the aims of Integrated Assessment. A pluralistic method is necessary to account for legitimate plural interpretations of uncertainty and multiple risk perceptions. A wide range of methods and tools is presented to contribute to adequate and effective pluralistic uncertainty management and risk analysis in decision support endeavours. Special attention is given to the development of one such approach, the Pluralistic fRamework for Integrated uncertainty Management and risk Analysis (PRIMA), of which the practical value is explored in the context of the Environmental Outlooks produced by the Dutch Institute for Public Health and Environment (RIVM).
Audience: This book will be of interest to researchers and practitioners whose work involves decision support, uncertainty management, risk analysis, environmental planning, and Integrated Assessment.

✦ Table of Contents

Front Matter....Pages i-xvi
Introduction and research methodology....Pages 1-22
Integrated Assessment....Pages 23-74
Uncertainty....Pages 75-146
Risk....Pages 147-204
Uncertainy and risk in perspective....Pages 205-226
Pluralistic framework for integrated uncertainy management and risk analysis ( prima )....Pages 227-262
Exploring the need for prima ....Pages 263-291
Searching for uncertainty in rivm ’s Environmental Outlooks....Pages 293-351
Exploring prima ’s first steps in practice....Pages 353-405
Perspectives on uncertainty and risk....Pages 407-417
Back Matter....Pages 419-434

✦ Subjects

Quality Control, Reliability, Safety and Risk; Environmental Management; Political Science, general; Methodology of the Social Sciences