## Abstract This article investigates the mortality of Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) over the 1990–2003 period, a longer horizon than any encompassed in the literature. A detailed survival analysis over the full range of CTA classifications is provided, and it is found that the median lifetime
Performance and persistence of Commodity Trading Advisors: Further evidence
✍ Scribed by Greg N. Gregoriou; Georges Hübner; Maher Kooli
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2009
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 148 KB
- Volume
- 30
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0270-7314
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
✦ Synopsis
Abstract
We re‐examine the performance of Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) over the January 1995 to October 2008 period. We compare abnormal performance based on a number of alternative existing models, as well as a category‐specific model introducing asset‐, option‐, and moments‐based factors. Taking more factors into account significantly raises the explanatory power, and 9 out of 12 CTA categories significantly outperform the market. We find that numerous CTAs show persistence over a horizon of at least three months and they are also more likely to be persistent over a longer period. Yet, most of the persistence fades away upon the “acid test” of considering only the top and bottom quartiles of CTAs. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 30:725–752, 2010
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