Sampling distributions of the Brier scor
β
D.S. Wilks
π
Article
π
2010
π
John Wiley and Sons
π
English
β 195 KB
## Abstract Relatively little attention has been given to the effects of serial correlation of forecasts and observations on the sampling properties of forecast verification statistics. An assumption of serial independence for lowβquality forecasts may be reasonable. However, forecasts of sufficien