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Output Gaps In Real Time: How Reliable Are They?

✍ Scribed by DAVID GRUEN; TIM ROBINSON; ANDREW STONE

Book ID
111208351
Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2005
Tongue
English
Weight
179 KB
Volume
81
Category
Article
ISSN
0013-0249

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## Abstract Potential output plays a central role in monetary policy and short‐term macroeconomic policy making. Yet, characterizing the output gap involves a trend‐cycle decomposition, and unobserved component estimates are typically subject to a large uncertainty at the sample end. An important c