## Abstract This article demonstrates how options on federal funds futures, which began trading in March 2003, can be used to recover the implied probability density function (PDF) for future Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interestβrate outcomes. The discrete nature of the choices made by the
Options on federal funds futures and interest rate volatility
β Scribed by Jahangir Sultan
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2011
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 440 KB
- Volume
- 32
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0270-7314
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
This study examines the response of the spot and futures interest rates on the fed funds, Eurodollar, and Libor to the listing of CME fed funds options. With the exception of the Libor futures, the introduction of options is associated with a decrease in the conditional volatility of the interest rates in the sample. There is also evidence that the volume of options trading has a negative effect on the fed funds and the Eurodollar spot rates. In contrast, the fed funds and the Eurodollar futures rates respond positively to the volume of options trading. Overall, strong generalization of the effects of options listing and options trading across the markets is not possible. These results remain robust even after controlling for several exogenous variables including changes in the Fed's target for the fed funds rate, the TED spread, the 9/11 terrorist attacks, and dayβofβtheβweek effects.
π SIMILAR VOLUMES
which follow diffusion processes are assumed and the instantaneous interest rate, r Cy,), and the spot price, Sot,) are determined. One of the state variables may be a spot price. lIf the option is American, it can be exercised on or before the expiration date. If the option is European, it can be e
The Federal funds rate is also an ingredient in marc sophisticated measures of monetary policy as described in Bernankc and Mihov (1995) and Strongin (1995). Those measures also incorporate the volumc of nonborrowed and total reserves. 2See, for example, McGee (1995).
## Abstract By applying the HeathβJarrowβMorton (HJM) framework, an analytical approximation for pricing American options on foreign currency under stochastic volatility and double jump is derived. This approximation is also applied to other existing models for the purpose of comparison. There is e