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OPTIMAL TRACKING OF PARAMETER DRIFT IN A CHAOTIC SYSTEM: EXPERIMENT AND THEORY

✍ Scribed by A. CHATTERJEE; J.P. CUSUMANO; D. CHELIDZE


Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
2002
Tongue
English
Weight
395 KB
Volume
250
Category
Article
ISSN
0022-460X

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✦ Synopsis


We present a method of optimal tracking for chaotic dynamical systems with a slowly drifting parameter. The net drift in the parameter is assumed to be small: this makes detecting and tracking the drift more di$cult. The method relies on the existence of underlying deterministic behavior in the dynamical system, yet neither requires a system model nor develops one. We begin by describing an experimental study where a heuristic optimality criterion gave good tracking performance: the tracking method there was based on maximizing smoothness and overall variation in the drift observer, which was found by solving an eigenvalue problem. We then develop a theory, based on simplifying assumptions about the chaotic dynamics, to explain the success of the tracking method for chaotic systems. For signals from deterministic systems that are su$ciently complex in a sense that we make precise, typical drift observers provide poor tracking performance and require the drift to be particularly slow. In contrast, our theory shows that the optimality criterion seeks out a special drift observer that both provides better tracking performance and allows the drift to be appreciably faster. For periodic or quasiperiodic systems (no chaos), good tracking is easily achievable and the present method is irrelevant. For stochastic systems (no determinism), the optimal tracking method does not asymptotically improve tracking performance. Exhaustive numerical simulations of a simple drifting chaotic map, "rst without and then with stochastic forcing, show agreement with theoretical predictions of tracking performance and validate the theory.

2002 Elsevier Science Ltd.


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