𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
✦   LIBER   ✦

On the ‘state of the art’ in local weather forecasting

✍ Scribed by K Balzer

Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2007
Tongue
English
Weight
437 KB
Volume
1
Category
Article
ISSN
1350-4827

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

✦ Synopsis

Based partly on more than 20 years of evaluating local weather forecasts in Germany, a comprehensive analysis of 1-he verification results of synoptic, statistical and short-and medium-range forecasts was carried out in order to obtain some insight into the present 'state of the art' in local weather forecasting. This ':itate' is characterised by (a) striking improvements in skill, especially for the three-to-six-day period; (b) an absence of significant progress in very-short-range forecasting, especially for aviation purposes and rare events; (c) an important role for statistical interpretation of medium-range forecasting products; (d) an increasing importance of direct model output for some short-range predictands; and, finally, (e) the urgent necessity to combine all the relevant forecast information in an optimum manner in real time.

📜 SIMILAR VOLUMES

The state of the art in CME
The state of the art in CME
✍ Robert K. Richards 📂 Article 📅 1983 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 507 KB
Continuing medical education on the Inte
Continuing medical education on the Internet: State of the art
✍ Michael W. Peterson 📂 Article 📅 1999 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 224 KB 👁 2 views

The Internet and its graphical component, the World Wide Web (WWW), is changing the way we communicate, do business, and share information. The Internet also has the potential to change the way we educate our patients and ourselves. However, the Internet is a relatively new and untested technology t

The impact of weather forecast improveme
The impact of weather forecast improvements on large scale hydrology: analysing a decade of forecasts of the European Flood Alert System
✍ Florian Pappenberger; Jutta Thielen; Mauro Del Medico 📂 Article 📅 2011 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 596 KB

## Abstract The European Flood Alert System (EFAS) provides early flood alerts on a pre‐operational basis to National hydrological services. EFAS river discharge forecasts are based on probabilistic techniques, using ensemble system and deterministic numerical weather prediction data. The performan

Comments on ‘The quality and accuracy of
Comments on ‘The quality and accuracy of a sample of public and commercial weather forecasts in the UK’
✍ Allan H. Murphy; J E Thornes 📂 Article 📅 2007 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 291 KB

## Comments Comments on 'The quality and accuracy of a sample of public and commercial weather forecasts in the UK I would like to offer some comments on the recent paper by J E Thornes entitled 'The quality and accuracy of a sample of public and commercial weather forecasts in the UK' (Meteorol.

Skill assessment of the existing capacit
Skill assessment of the existing capacity for extended-range weather forecasting in Nigeria
✍ James O. Adejuwon; Theophilus O. Odekunle 📂 Article 📅 2004 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 314 KB

## Abstract The need for skilful weather forecasting as a strategy for adapting food production to a variable and changing climate is recognized. Frequent assessment of the existing tools provides the needed feedback to encourage the growth of a more reliable weather forecasting capacity. A scheme