## Abstract This study presents an empirical analysis investigating the relationship between the futures trading activities of speculators and hedgers and the potential movements of major spot exchange rates. A set of trader position measures are employed as regression predictors, including the lev
✦ LIBER ✦
On speculators and hedgers in currency futures markets: who leads whom?
✍ Scribed by Andreas Röthig
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2010
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 192 KB
- Volume
- 16
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 1076-9307
- DOI
- 10.1002/ijfe.410
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✦ Synopsis
This paper studies the lead-lag relationship between speculation and hedging activity in six currency futures markets. The relations between (i) total speculation (long plus short) and total hedging (long plus short), (ii) long speculation and short hedging, and (iii) short speculation and long hedging are investigated. The empirical results, based on vector autoregressive and vector error correction models, suggest that speculators lead hedgers in all markets examined. Moreover, speculators attract hedgers to open positions in currency futures markets.
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