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Multi-phase epidemic model by a Markov chain

✍ Scribed by Stefania Maria Buccellato; Elisabetta Tornatore

Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
2008
Tongue
English
Weight
470 KB
Volume
387
Category
Article
ISSN
0378-4371

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✦ Synopsis

In this paper we propose a continuous-time Markov chain to describe the spread of an infective and non-mortal disease into a community numerically limited and subjected to an external infection. We make a numerical simulation that shows tendencies for recurring epidemic outbreaks and for fade-out or extinction of the infection.

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