✦ LIBER ✦

Monthly forecast and the summer 2003 heat wave over Europe: a case study

✍ Scribed by Frédéric Vitart

Book ID: 102753615
Publisher: Elsevier Science
Year: 2005
Tongue: English
Weight: 555 KB
Volume: 6
Category: Article
ISSN: 1530-261X
DOI: 10.1002/asl.99

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✦ Synopsis

Abstract

A monthly forecasting system has been set up at ECMWF. Probabilistic scores indicate some potentially useful skill for the periods days 12 to 18 and 19 to 32. A case study of the 2003 heat wave over Europe suggests that the model successfully predicted a risk of heat wave higher than in climatology more than 10 days in advance. Copyright © 2005 Royal Meteorological Society

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