## Abstract This paper uses Markov switching models to capture volatility dynamics in exchange rates and to evaluate their forecasting ability. We identify that increased volatilities in four euroβbased exchange rates are due to underlying structural changes. Also, we find that currencies are close
Modelling heterogeneity and dynamics in the volatility of individual wages
β Scribed by L. Hospido
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2010
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 272 KB
- Volume
- 27
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0883-7252
- DOI
- 10.1002/jae.1204
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β¦ Synopsis
Abstract
This paper presents a model for the heterogeneity and dynamics of the conditional mean and conditional variance of individual wages. A biasβcorrected likelihood approach, which reduces the estimation bias to a term of order 1/T^2^, is used for estimation and inference. The smallβsample performance of the proposed estimator is investigated in a Monte Carlo study. The simulation results show that the bias of the maximum likelihood estimator is substantially corrected for designs calibrated to the data used in the empirical analysis, drawn from the PSID. The empirical results show that it is important to account for individual unobserved heterogeneity and dynamics in the variance, and that the latter is driven by job mobility. The model also explains the nonβnormality observed in logβwage data. Copyright Β© 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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