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Modeling dynamics of infant obesity in the region of Valencia, Spain

✍ Scribed by Lucas Jódar; Francisco J. Santonja; Gilberto González-Parra

Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
2008
Tongue
English
Weight
600 KB
Volume
56
Category
Article
ISSN
0898-1221

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✦ Synopsis

In this paper we present a finite-time 3-5 years old childhood obesity model to study the evolution of obesity in the next years in the Spanish region of Valencia. After a statistical study, it can be seen that sociocultural characteristics determine the nutritional habits and the unhealthy ones such as high frequency of consumption of bakery, fried meals and soft drinks (BFS), which are prevalent factors in childhood obesity. This analysis allows us to consider obesity as a disease of social transmission caused by high frequency consumption of BFS and to build a mathematical model of epidemiological type to study the childhood obesity evolution. The parameters of the model using data from surveys related to obesity in the Spanish region of Valencia are computed adjusting the model to real data of the years 1999 and 2002. Furthermore the simulation shows an increasing trend of childhood obesity in the following years.

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