Minimum-variance futures hedging under alternative return specifications

✍ Scribed by Eric Terry

• Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
• Year: 2005
• Tongue: English
• Weight: 135 KB
• Volume: 25
• Category: Article
• ISSN: 0270-7314
• DOI: 10.1002/fut.20153

✦ Synopsis

It is widely believed that the conventional futures hedge ratio, is variance-minimizing when it is computed using percentage returns or log returns. It is shown that the conventional hedge ratio is variance-minimizing when computed from returns measured in dollar terms but not from returns measured in percentage or log terms. Formulas for the minimumvariance hedge ratio under percentage and log returns are derived. The difference between the conventional hedge ratio computed from percentage and log returns and the minimum-variance hedge ratio is found to be relatively small when directly hedging, especially when using near-maturity futures. However, the minimum-variance hedge ratio can vary significantly from the conventional hedge ratio computed from percentage or log returns when used in cross-hedging situations. Simulation analysis shows that the incorrect application of the conventional hedge ratio in crosshedging situations can substantially reduce hedging performance.