## Abstract Using a standard decomposition of forecast errors into common and idiosyncratic shocks, we show that aggregate forecast uncertainty can be expressed as the disagreement among the forecasters plus the perceived variability of future aggregate shocks. Thus the reliability of disagreement
Measuring down and up: The missing link
β Scribed by Joseph C. Burke; Henrik P Minassians
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2002
- Weight
- 78 KB
- Volume
- 2002
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0271-0579
- DOI
- 10.1002/ir.62
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
Abstract
With all the reporting of higher education results, why do Measuring Up 2000 and 2002 find mediocre performance in most states? The missing link is common indicators that let policymakers measure up and down the performance chain to fix responsibility for success and shortcomings.
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