𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
✦   LIBER   ✦

Measurement in the ex post evaluation of forecasts

✍ Scribed by Ed Dammers


Book ID
105070159
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Year
1993
Tongue
English
Weight
852 KB
Volume
27
Category
Article
ISSN
0033-5177

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## Abstract This work assesses the value of climate forecasts for millet growers in Niger. We quantify the potential value of three kinds of categorical forecasts assigning cumulated rainfall during the forthcoming rainy season by tercile (dry, normal, or humid): (i) a realistic imperfect tercile f