โ Scribed by Steven J. Schwager, Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Herbert Hethcote (auth.), Carlos Castillo-Chavez (eds.)
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
The 18 research articles of this volume discuss the major themes that have emerged from mathematical and statistical research in the epidemiology of HIV. The opening paper reviews important recent contributions. Five sections follow: Statistical Methodology and Forecasting, Infectivity and the HIV, Heterogeneity and HIV Transmission Dynamics, Social Dynamics and AIDS, and The Immune System and The HIV. In each, leading experts in AIDS epidemiology present the recent results. Some address the role of variable infectivity, heterogeneous mixing, and long periods of infectiousness in the dynamics of HIV; others concentrate on parameter estimation and short-term forecasting. The last section looks at the interaction between the HIV and the immune system.
Front Matter....Pages I-IX
Front Matter....Pages 1-1
Statistical and Mathematical Approaches in HIV/AIDS Modeling: A Review....Pages 2-35
Front Matter....Pages 37-37
Epidemic Models, Empirical Studies, and Uncertainty....Pages 38-57
Predicting AIDS Incidence by Extrapolating from Recent Trends....Pages 58-88
Front Matter....Pages 89-89
Measuring HIV Infectivity....Pages 90-110
The Stages of HIV Infection: Waiting Times and Infection Transmission Probabilities....Pages 111-137
Modeling Heterogeneity in Susceptibility and Infectivity for HIV Infection....Pages 138-156
On the Role of Variable Infectivity in the Dynamics of the Human Immunodeficiency Virus Epidemic....Pages 157-176
Front Matter....Pages 177-177
Assessment of the Risk of HIV Spread Via Non-Steady Heterosexual Partners in the U.S. Population....Pages 178-199
On the Role of Long Incubation Periods in the Dynamics of Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS). Part 2: Multiple Group Models....Pages 200-217
Nonrandom Mixing Models of HIV Transmission....Pages 218-239
Front Matter....Pages 241-241
The Structure and Context of Social Interactions and the Spread of HIV....Pages 242-259
Pair Formation in Sexually-Transmitted Diseases....Pages 260-274
Mixing Framework for Social/Sexual Behavior....Pages 275-288
Interaction, Pair Formation and Force of Infection Terms in Sexually Transmitted Diseases....Pages 289-300
Structured Mixing: Heterogeneous Mixing by the Definition of Activity Groups....Pages 301-315
Selective Contact within Structured Mixing with an Application to HIV Transmission Risk from Oral and Anal Sex....Pages 316-348
Front Matter....Pages 349-349
Modeling the Interaction of the Immune System with HIV....Pages 350-370
Modeling the Interaction of HIV with Cells of the Immune System....Pages 371-385
When HIV Meets the Immune System: Network Theory, Alloimmunity, Autoimmunity, and AIDS....Pages 386-405
Back Matter....Pages 409-412
Epidemiology; Mathematical and Computational Biology; Medicine/Public Health, general; Anthropology
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