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Managing the Continuum: Certainty, Uncertainty, Unpredictability in Large Engineering Projects

✍ Scribed by Franco Caron (auth.)


Publisher
Springer-Verlag Mailand
Year
2013
Tongue
English
Leaves
89
Series
SpringerBriefs in Applied Sciences and Technology
Edition
1
Category
Library

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✦ Synopsis


The brief will describe how to develop a risk analysis applied to a project , through a sequence of steps: risk management planning, risk identification, risk classification, risk assessment, risk quantification, risk response planning, risk monitoring and control, process close out and lessons learning. The project risk analysis and management process will be applied to large engineering projects, in particular related to the oil and gas industry. The brief will address the overall range of possible events affecting the project moving from certainty (project issues) through uncertainty (project risks) to unpredictability (unforeseeable events), considering both negative and positive events. Some quantitative techniques (simulation, event tree, Bayesian inference, etc.) will be used to develop risk quantification. The brief addresses a typical subject in the area of project management, with reference to large engineering projects concerning the realization of large plants and infrastructures. These projects are characterized by a high level of change, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity. The brief represents an extension of the material developed for the course Project Risk Analysis and Management of the Master in Strategic Project Management (Erasmus Mundus) developed jointly by Politecnico di Milano, Heriot Watt University (Edimburgh) and Umea (Sweden). The brief may be used both in courses addressing project management subjects and by practitioners as a guide for developing an effective project risk management plan.

✦ Table of Contents


Front Matter....Pages i-viii
Introduction....Pages 1-6
Large Engineering Projects Strategy....Pages 7-10
Large Engineering Projects: The Oil and Gas Case....Pages 11-14
Project Management....Pages 15-17
Improving the Forecasting Process in Project Control....Pages 19-27
Robustness and Flexibility....Pages 29-33
Project Risk Analysis and Management....Pages 35-36
Real Options....Pages 37-39
Stakeholders as Uncertainty Sources....Pages 41-45
Project Organizational Model....Pages 47-50
Introduction to Project Risk....Pages 51-56
Project Risk Analysis....Pages 57-65
Project Risk Management....Pages 67-74
Quantitative Analysis of Project Risks....Pages 75-80
Conclusions....Pages 81-85
Back Matter....Pages 87-88

✦ Subjects


Quality Control, Reliability, Safety and Risk; Project Management; Statistics for Engineering, Physics, Computer Science, Chemistry and Earth Sciences


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