𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
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Long term forecasting: A novel time-trend analysis technique

✍ Scribed by R.F. de la Mare


Book ID
118410866
Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1978
Weight
872 KB
Volume
3
Category
Article
ISSN
0377-841X

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The most reliable component of a time series, for forecasting purposes, is the shape of the long-term trend. However, the presence of cycles makes it difficult to identify and predict the changes in such trends. While up to now emphasis has been given in identifying and measuring cyclical behaviour,