𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
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Lead-lag relationships between interest rates, exchange rates, and agricultural exports to Japan

✍ Scribed by Daniel J. Seger; David A. Lins; Michael A. Hudson


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
1989
Tongue
English
Weight
572 KB
Volume
5
Category
Article
ISSN
0742-4477

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✦ Synopsis


Agribusinesses are focusing increased attention on linkages between the US agricultural sector and international economic variables. Increased dependency by the agribusiness sector on exports, greater variability in interest rates, and greater variability in exchange rates are illustrative of recent changes. Lead-lag relationships between interest rates, exchange rates, and agricultural exports suggest strung relationships in the US and several industrialized nations. US interest rates often lead foreign exchange rates, while relationships between interest rate differentials and exchange rates are generally instantaneous.


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his article provides observations describing the relationship between agricul-T tural commodity prices and real interest rates. The traditional view of this relationship has centered around the influence of the cost of money in the determination of carrying costs and, to a lesser extent, on the infl