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Judgmental forecasts of time series affected by special events: Does providing a statistical forecast improve accuracy?: Paul Goodwin and Robert Fildes (1999) Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 12(1), 37–53.

✍ Scribed by Fred Collopy

Book ID: 114175133
Publisher: Elsevier Science
Year: 2000
Tongue: English
Weight: 11 KB
Volume: 16
Category: Article
ISSN: 0169-2070
DOI: 10.1016/s0169-2070(99)00044-8

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Judgmental forecasts of time series affected by special events: does providing a statistical forecast improve accuracy?

✍ Paul Goodwin; Robert Fildes 📂 Article 📅 1999 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 245 KB 👁 1 views

Time series found in areas such as marketing and sales often have regular established patterns which are occasionally aected by exogenous in¯uences, such as sales promotions. While statistical forecasting methods are adept at extrapolating regular patterns in series, judgmental forecasters have a po