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Jointly evaluating the Federal Reserve’s forecasts of GDP growth and inflation

✍ Scribed by Tara M. Sinclair; Edward N. Gamber; Herman Stekler; Elizabeth Reid

Book ID
113648230
Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
2012
Tongue
English
Weight
203 KB
Volume
28
Category
Article
ISSN
0169-2070

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✍ Gebhardt Kirschgässner; Marcel Savioz 📂 Article 📅 2001 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 204 KB

## Abstract Using quarterly data for the Federal Republic of Germany, we generate four-quarter-ahead forecasts for real GDP growth. Throughout the 1970s and 1980s, other monetary indicators like real M1 or short-run interest rates clearly outperform forecasts which are based on interest rate sprea