This book builds on previous econometric theory and focuses on the most common or important models for econometric time-series and econometric forecasting.The focus of the book is on the two models at the core of econometric time-series/forecasting: ARMA and ARIMA.It covers different versions of AR
Introduction to time series and forecasting
β Scribed by Peter J. Brockwell, Richard A. Davis
- Publisher
- Springer
- Year
- 2002
- Tongue
- English
- Leaves
- 449
- Edition
- 2nd
- Category
- Library
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
This book is aimed at the reader who wishes to gain a working knowledge of time series and forecasting methods as applied in economics, engineering, and the natural and social sciences. The book assumes knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra and elementary statistics. This second edition contains detailed instructions on the use of the new totally windows-based computer package ITSM2000, the student version of which is included with the text. Expanded treatments are also given of several topics treated only briefly in the first edition. These include regression with time series errors, which plays an important role in forecasting and inference, and ARCH and GARCH models, which are widely used for the modeling of financial time series. These models can be fitted using the new version of ITSM. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, the EM algorithm, structural models, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introductions are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models.
π SIMILAR VOLUMES
Cover --<br/> Table of Contents --<br/> Preface --<br/> Chapter 1. Introduction --<br/> 1.1. Examples of Time Series --<br/> 1.2. Objectives of Time Series Analysis --<br/> 1.3. Some Simple Time Series Models --<br/> 1.4. Stationary Models and the Autocorrelation Function --<br/> 1.5. Estima
This book is aimed at the reader who wishes to gain a working knowledge of time series and forecasting methods as applied to economics, engineering and the natural and social sciences. It assumes knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra and elementary statistics. Β This third edition contains
This book is aimed at the reader who wishes to gain a working knowledge of time series and forecasting methods as applied to economics, engineering and the natural and social sciences. It assumes knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra and elementary statistics. This third edition contains